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	<title>Comments on: Accurate Forecasting</title>
	<atom:link href="http://theleanthinker.com/2008/04/28/accurate-forecasting/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://theleanthinker.com/2008/04/28/accurate-forecasting/</link>
	<description>Thoughts and insights from the shop floor.</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 29 Aug 2008 02:03:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://theleanthinker.com/2008/04/28/accurate-forecasting/#comment-4766</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2008 16:17:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theleanthinker.com/?p=129#comment-4766</guid>
		<description>Thanks for your comment, and welcome!

A few more years ago than I would care to admin, I was at a dinner with Mr. Nakao, the President of Shingijutsu. He told a story, which true or not, illustrates the point. 

Way back when, car sales in Japan were door-to-door. Sales people developed long-term relationships with customers.

New college grads hired into the sales team were trained by spending a month on the streets selling newspapers.

The key point being made to them was to understand the difference between 100 newspapers a day and 500 newspapers a week. On Wednesday morning, the papers they didn't sell on Tuesday were worth exactly &lt;em&gt;nothing.&lt;/em&gt; There was no way to make up today's lost sales tomorrow. They were being taught that they needed to hit the target every single day... a target for level sales. 

Toyota understood that the more level the entire system, the higher the total margins. They were out to optimize the entire value stream, not particular segments of it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for your comment, and welcome!</p>
<p>A few more years ago than I would care to admin, I was at a dinner with Mr. Nakao, the President of Shingijutsu. He told a story, which true or not, illustrates the point. </p>
<p>Way back when, car sales in Japan were door-to-door. Sales people developed long-term relationships with customers.</p>
<p>New college grads hired into the sales team were trained by spending a month on the streets selling newspapers.</p>
<p>The key point being made to them was to understand the difference between 100 newspapers a day and 500 newspapers a week. On Wednesday morning, the papers they didn&#8217;t sell on Tuesday were worth exactly <em>nothing.</em> There was no way to make up today&#8217;s lost sales tomorrow. They were being taught that they needed to hit the target every single day&#8230; a target for level sales. </p>
<p>Toyota understood that the more level the entire system, the higher the total margins. They were out to optimize the entire value stream, not particular segments of it.</p>
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		<title>By: Chuck</title>
		<link>http://theleanthinker.com/2008/04/28/accurate-forecasting/#comment-4765</link>
		<dc:creator>Chuck</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2008 14:33:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theleanthinker.com/?p=129#comment-4765</guid>
		<description>When I first read "accurate forecast", I thought you were going to head down the path of "jumbo shrimp".  That is to say - "accurate forecast" is one of the better examples of an oxymoron.  I do agree with your content.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When I first read &#8220;accurate forecast&#8221;, I thought you were going to head down the path of &#8220;jumbo shrimp&#8221;.  That is to say - &#8220;accurate forecast&#8221; is one of the better examples of an oxymoron.  I do agree with your content.</p>
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